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EarningsBusinessCatena Media

Catena Media expects €30-35m write-down as search traffic shrinks

The affiliate says generative search is cutting traffic and that CPA deals, which bring in over 90% of new customers, leave limited recurring revenue to buffer the fall.

Cover card: Affiliate · Target missed · Catena Media

Catena Media no longer expects double-digit organic growth in revenue and adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation, adjusted) in 2026, after a third quarter in which revenue fell 29%. The affiliate company published preliminary, unaudited Q3 figures on 16 October 2026, with an expected non-cash impairment charge of €30-35m on intangible assets.

By the numbers

  • Q3 revenue: €8.3m, down 29% from €11.6m.
  • Nine-month revenue: €30.1m, against €31.0m a year earlier.
  • Q3 adjusted EBITDA: €0.7m, against €2.9m. It includes a reversal of accruals made earlier in the year for the 2026 employee bonus programme, of the same amount.
  • Nine-month adjusted EBITDA: €4.6m, against €5.2m.
  • Impairment: booked in Q3 on intangible assets, under the IAS 36 accounting standard.

What drove it

The company named three factors. Generative search is changing how users find brands online and cutting new traffic across the affiliate industry. Its traditional search rankings fell, which it attributes to AI-assisted personalised search and to search engines raising lower-relevancy content. Some operators also cut marketing budgets during the usual summer slowdown.

Catena Media acquires more than 90% of new customers under cost-per-acquisition (CPA) deals, where it is paid per customer delivered. It says that leaves limited recurring revenue to buffer such pressures.

Chief executive Manuel Stan said the company is reducing its dependence on search through new revenue streams, including prediction markets, and customer loyalty programmes. It plans to launch a new platform, TraffiqX, in the first quarter of 2027.

The release does not say which intangible assets the impairment relates to. It does not explain how TraffiqX will earn revenue, or split the revenue fall between lower traffic and reduced operator budgets.

What’s next

Catena Media will publish its full Q3 2026 interim report on 10 November at 17:35 CET, with a webcast at 18:00 CET. All figures so far are preliminary and unaudited.

Source

Catena Media announces preliminary Q3 results and financial target update

Catena Media

Drafted with AI assistance from the company's official announcement or filing and reviewed by our editors before publication. How we work

EBITDA and adjusted EBITDAEBITDA is earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation, a rough measure of the profit a business makes from its operations. "Adjusted" EBITDA also leaves out further items the company chooses to exclude.Full entry in the glossary
Prediction marketA market where people trade contracts on the outcome of future events, such as an election result, an interest rate decision or a sports game. In the United States regulated prediction markets are overseen by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).Full entry in the glossary